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一、从供需基本面分析,油脂供给大于需求供给:①2005年国内油料生产总量预计5433万t,低于上年水平,但仍是历史上的高产年。再加上蓖麻、玉米胚芽及少量特种油籽产量与去年持平,折油共计910.64万t。②进口:据海关统计,2005年1-10月进口豆油132万t,预计全年豆油进口量为185.8万t;
First, from the fundamental analysis of supply and demand, the supply of oil is greater than the demand for supply: ① The total domestic oil production in 2005 is estimated at 54.33 million tons, lower than the level of the previous year but still a high-yielding year in history. Coupled with castor, corn germ and a small amount of special oilseed production levels unchanged from last year, a total of 910.64 million tons of oil. ②Introduction: According to the statistics of the Customs, 1.32 million tons of soybean oil are imported from January to October in 2005, and the annual import of soybean oil is estimated to be 1.858 million tons.