2012年,我国经济增长将继续放缓,但经济增长速度将处于可控区间。总体上2012年GDP增长以“稳”为主,既不会出现2008年那样的大幅回落,也不会出现2009年那样的V型回升。全年的通胀压力仍然较大,全年价格总水平要回落到低通胀区间的难度较大,CPI即使回落也并不意味着本轮通胀的结束。宏观政策宜稳增长和稳物价并举,结构性微调而不是放松和刺激。 In 2012, China’s economic growth will continue to slow down, but the rate of economic growth will be in a controlled range. Overall, the GDP growth in 2012 is mainly based on “stable”, neither a sharp fall like that in 2008 nor a V-shaped recovery in 2009 will occur. Inflationary pressures are still high throughout the year. It is more difficult for the annual general price level to fall back to the low inflation stage. Even if the CPI falls, it does not mean the end of the current round of inflation. Macroeconomic policies should stabilize growth and stabilize prices simultaneously, with structural fine-tuning instead of relaxation and stimulation.