本文在经济学的理论基础上建立了1995-2004年间的江苏省平均商品房价格的计量模型。通过对平均商品房价格的多因素分析,建立以平均商品房价格为应变量,以新增住宅面积,居民可支配收入,经济增长率,实际利率,居民人口数为自变量的多元线性回归模型,并利用模型对平均商品房价格的原因进行数量化分析,并对其如何变化提供一些参考性的意见。 Based on the theory of economics, this article establishes the measurement model of the average commercial housing price in Jiangsu Province from 1995 to 2004. By multivariate analysis of the average commercial housing price, a multivariate linear regression model was established with average commercial housing price as the dependent variable and new residential area, resident disposable income, economic growth rate, real interest rate and resident population as independent variables Using the model to quantitatively analyze the reason of average commercial housing price, and provide some reference opinions on how it changes.