论文部分内容阅读
本文采用Novy(2008)模型,测度了1998～2011年14年间大陆与台湾地区按照HS编码划分的各行业的贸易成本,并在此基础上建构了动态面板数据模型并采用GMM估计法对其影响因素进行了实证分析。结果表明,两岸各行业贸易成本总体呈现下降趋势,并且各行业下降的幅度存在较大的异质性。两岸各行业的平均关税水平、各行业的贸易开放度、两岸人均收入水平差异以及台湾当局对大陆的经贸政策包括“三通”的实现对于两岸贸易成本的影响都是显著的。本文的主要政策含义在于,海峡两岸可以继续挖掘贸易成本下降的途径促进两岸经济交流与合作以实现共同繁荣。
In this paper, the Novy (2008) model is used to measure the trade costs of various industries in mainland China and Taiwan according to the HS code in the 14 years from 1998 to 2011. Based on this, the dynamic panel data model is constructed and the GMM estimation method is adopted Factors of empirical analysis. The results show that the overall cross-strait trade costs show a downward trend, and the decline in the size of the industry there is a greater heterogeneity. The impact of the average tariff levels across industries on various trades and industries, the trade liberalization across industries, the per capita income level across the Taiwan Strait and the Taiwan authorities’ economic and trade policies on the Mainland, including the realization of the “three direct links,” all have significant impact on the cross-Strait trade costs. The main policy implications of this article lie in the fact that the two sides of the Taiwan Straits can continue to tap ways to reduce trade costs and promote cross-Strait economic exchanges and cooperation in order to achieve common prosperity.