“2010年底,我国甲醇产能至少将达到2953.4万吨,产量预计只有1480万吨,开工率乐观估计也只能达到50%。甲醇行业目前处于产能严重过剩、竞争白热化的境地。如不采取有效措施,这种困境将延续到‘十二五’期间。”在第三届国际甲醇-二甲醚/LPG(液化石油气)产业链市场峰会暨2010中国甲醇汽油市场研讨会上,中国石油和化学工业联合会高级分析师冯世良做出上述预测。 “The end of 2010, China’s methanol production capacity will reach at least 29,534,000 tons, the output is expected to be only 14,800,000 tons, optimistic about the operating rate is estimated to reach only 50% .Methanol industry is currently in a serious excess capacity, intense competition .If not to take effective Measures, this dilemma will continue until the ”12th Five-Year“ period. ”At the 3rd International Methanol-Dimethyl Ether / LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) Industry Chain Summit and China Methanol Gas Market Seminar 2010, PetroChina And chemical industry federation senior analyst Feng Shiliang made the above forecast.