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本文应用概率统计理论和随机抽样模拟技术,建立了勘探过程模拟法,动态地研究油气勘探过程中资源量的发现与勘探工诈量之间的关系。它能预测探区资源量有多少、油气成的规模及可能的数目、为获得某一资源量应投入的勘探工作量、费用与勘探效果等。这方面的信息将有助于探区进一步的油气勘探部署。
In this paper, probabilistic statistical theory and random sampling simulation techniques are used to establish a simulation method of exploration process to dynamically study the relationship between the discovery of resources and the amount of exploration and exploitation in the process of oil and gas exploration. It can predict the amount of exploration resources, the scale of oil and gas into the possible number, to obtain a certain amount of resources should be invested in the exploration workload, costs and exploration results. This information will help further exploration and deployment of exploration areas.