工业七国经济、金融综述及统计

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综述:美国经济经历了第二季度的曲折后,第三季度增长率明显回升。据美国商务部公布的数字,第三季度美国国内生产总值达7.1132万亿美元,比第二季度增长4.2%,明显高于第二季度1.3%的年增长率。工业生产在第二季度以年率计算下降2.3%后,第三季度上升了3.5%;企业固定资本投资继第二季度增长11.3%后,第三季度又上升8.3%,价格指数第三季度以年率计算上升1.8%,远低于第二季度3.2%的上升幅度,这表明美国经济在经济增长率回升的同时,通胀率仍然得到有效控制。第三季度美国就业人数稳步增加,月均增加就业人数14万人,失业率保持在5.6%的低水平。多数经济学家认为,近期美国经济仍将以2.5%到3%的年率增长。受马克汇价上升、出口额下降和本国建筑业不景气影响,德国经济增长势头减弱。全德9月份工业生产下降1.9%,年率下降2.9%。10月份德国失业人数上升到352.6万人,比一年前增加7.85万人,失业率仍为9.2%。日本经济处境艰难,第二季度工业生产较上季度下降了2.3%;就业形势严峻,9月份完全失业者总数为219万人,比去年同期增加了18万人,增长幅度为8.95%,创历史最高纪录。10月份国际外汇市场虽受欧洲政坛影响较大。但未出现大的动荡。美元兑日元、德国马克、法郎、英镑等主要西方货币稳中略有升降。其中美元兑日元日均价上升0.10%,兑德国马克下降1.83%,兑英镑下降0.29%。美国经常项目逆差近期出现改善的希望不大,因此,美元继续回升面临着种种压力。近期美国股市异常火爆,道(?)琼斯股票指数屡创新高,11月16日达4969点,再次改写历史记录。英国股市在美国股市猛升的带动下,伦敦金融时报指数曾一度创3610.8点历史新高。10月份日本股市窄幅波 Summary: After the U.S. economy experienced a twists and turns in the second quarter, the growth rate in the third quarter picked up markedly. According to figures released by the U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. gross domestic product reached 7.1132 trillion U.S. dollars in the third quarter, up 4.2% from the second quarter and significantly above the 1.3% annual growth rate in the second quarter. Industrial production rose by 3.5% in the third quarter after falling by 2.3% in the second quarter; corporate fixed capital investment rose by 8.3% in the third quarter after an increase of 11.3% in the second quarter, while the third quarter of the price index rose at an annual rate The increase of 1.8% is far below the increase of 3.2% in the second quarter. This shows that while the U.S. economy is recovering from its economic growth, the inflation rate still remains under effective control. In the third quarter, the number of employed Americans steadily increased, with an average monthly increase of 140,000 employed people and a jobless rate of 5.6%. Most economists believe the U.S. economy will continue to grow 2.5% to 3% annually in the near future. Affected by the rise of the mark exchange rate, the decline of exports and the downturn of the construction industry in its own country, Germany’s economic growth has weakened. All Germany’s industrial production in September fell 1.9%, an annualized decline of 2.9%. In October, the number of unemployed in Germany rose to 3,526,000, an increase of 78,500 from a year earlier, leaving the unemployment rate at 9.2%. Japan’s economy was in a difficult economic situation. In the second quarter, industrial production dropped by 2.3% from the previous quarter. The employment situation was grim. The total number of unemployed persons in September was 2.19 million, an increase of 180,000 over the same period of last year, an increase of 8.95%. Highest record. Although the international foreign exchange market in October was greatly affected by the European political arena. But there was no major upheaval. The dollar against the yen, the German mark, the franc, the pound and other major western currencies steady rise slightly. US dollar was up 0.10% against the yen on average, down 1.83% against Deutsche Mark and down 0.29% against sterling. There is little hope of a recent improvement in the current account deficit in the United States. As a result, the pressure on the dollar to continue to rise is facing various pressures. The recent US stock market was unusually hot, with the Dow Jones International (DJIA) Jones Index reaching record highs on November 16 reaching 4969 points, once again rewriting the historical record. British stock market in the United States stock market soared, driven by the London Financial Times Index once hit a record high of 3610.8 points. Japan’s stock market narrowed in October
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