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三次产业结构的比例关系,是研究、制定经济发展中长期规划时必然遇到的问题。对于深圳来说,由于特殊的背景和条件,第二产业和第三产业的发展次序成为一个不易把握的问题。两者的比例关系也就难以说清。本文在实证考察的基础上谈一点看法。 一、深圳三次产业结构的特殊轨迹 由于中央的优惠政策和“香港因素”等外部条件的作用,深圳十五年来三次产业结构的变化有着特殊的轨迹。这一轨迹所包涵的信息为我们规划“九五”期间的三次产业结构提供了思维的素材。根据深圳市统计局的资料,深圳市三次产业结构的变化如表。
The proportional relationship between the three industrial structures is an issue that must be encountered when studying and formulating medium- and long-term economic development plans. For Shenzhen, due to its special background and conditions, the development order of the secondary and tertiary industries has become a difficult issue to grasp. The ratio between the two will be hard to say clearly. This article on the basis of empirical study to talk about some ideas. I. Special Track of Three Industrial Structures in Shenzhen Owing to the preferential policies of the Central Government and the external conditions such as “Hong Kong Factor”, the three industrial structures in Shenzhen have a special trajectory in 15 years. The information contained in this track provides the material for thinking about the three industrial structures that we planned during the Ninth Five-year Plan period. According to the statistics of Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Statistics, the changes of the three industrial structures in Shenzhen are as follows.