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通过构造一个由消费结构、城镇居民收入水平、第二产业结构和第三产业结构四个变量组成的VAR模型,对新疆城乡居民的消费结构与产业结构相互作用的关系及其动态特征进行了实证研究。根据设定的模型、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数、预测方差分解和协整检验,发现新疆城镇居民消费结构会影响第二产业结构的转换,随着居民收入水平的提高,恩格尔系数呈下降趋势。城乡居民收入水平对产业结构升级产生一定影响。
By constructing a VAR model composed of four variables: consumption structure, income level of urban residents, the secondary industry structure and the tertiary industry structure, this paper empirically tests the relationship and dynamic characteristics of the urban-rural inhabitants’ consumption structure and industrial structure interaction the study. According to the set model, Granger causality test, impulse response function, prediction variance decomposition and cointegration test, it is found that the consumption structure of urban residents in Xinjiang will affect the conversion of the second industrial structure. As the income level of residents increases, the Engel’s coefficient Downtrend. The income level of urban and rural residents have an impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.