论文部分内容阅读
在收集我国2002~2011年间9个海洋生态文明和12个经济社会指标统计数据的基础上,建立了海洋生态文明和经济社会综合发展的评价体系。采用均方差赋权法计算了各指标的权重系数,利用动态耦合模型对海洋生态文明和经济社会耦合演进关系进行了定量分析研究。结果表明:2002~2011年间,我国经济社会发展呈快速发展态势,而海洋生态文明发展相对滞后,且海洋生态文明的动态演进具有随时波动性;从二者耦合演进关系来看,十年间我国海洋生态文明与经济社会总体上处于协调共生的发展阶段,但表现出了进入极限发展阶段的危机。说明加紧推进海洋生态文明建设对保证我国经济社会可持续发展具有一定的历史紧迫切性。
On the basis of collecting statistics of nine marine ecological civilizations and 12 economic and social indicators from 2002 to 2011 in our country, an evaluation system of marine ecological civilization and economic and social comprehensive development has been established. Weighted mean square method was used to calculate the weight coefficient of each index, and the dynamic coupling model was used to quantitatively analyze the evolutionary relationship between marine ecological civilization and economic and social coupling. The results show that from 2002 to 2011, China’s economic and social development showed a rapid development trend, while the development of marine ecological civilization lags behind. The dynamic evolution of marine ecological civilization is subject to volatility at any time. From the perspective of the coupling and evolution, Ecological civilization and economic society as a whole are in a stage of coordinated symbiosis, but they show a crisis of entering the stage of extreme development. This shows that stepping up the construction of marine ecological civilization has a certain historic urgency for ensuring the sustainable economic and social development of our country.