根据华山风景区短期客流量小样本、非线性等特征,本文提出基于灰色预测模型,对华山风景区短期客流量进行预测。来自华山风景区2009年—2013年十一期间相关日数据的验证结果表明:灰色模型的预测相对误差小,与景区实际客流量拟合度高,是进行华山风景区短期客流量预测的有效工具。 According to the short-term passenger flow in Huashan Scenic Area, such as small samples, non-linearity and other characteristics, this paper proposes a gray prediction model based on the Huashan Scenic Area short-term passenger flow forecast. The verification results of the relevant daily data from Huashan Scenic Area from 2009 to 2013 show that the gray model has a relatively small prediction error and a good fit with the actual passenger flow in the scenic area, which is an effective tool for short-term passenger flow forecasting in Huashan Scenic Area .