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如果秋粮形势稳定,预测2003年下半年玉米价格将稳中略降,即使略有波动,也不可能超过1.20元的界点;豆粕价将继续维持较高价位,企业需动态监测国际市场的价格趋势,慎重采购;肥猪价格趋势是继续稳中有降,活猪价的综合预测可能维持5.71～6.12元之间;我国养猪盈利周期约为37个月,预计年底之前养猪业仍处于盈利期,但明年春天可能转入亏损期;种猪企业应注意到,现在应当是仔猪高价销售旺季,要树立信心,迎接新一轮的仔猪销售高潮;商品猪场应注意到,现在仍处于转入亏损期前,要抓住这个战机,积极补栏,争取今年最后一个盈利机会。
If the situation of autumn grain is stable, it is predicted that the price of maize will drop slightly in the second half of 2003. Even if it fluctuates slightly, it is impossible to exceed the cutoff point of 1.20 yuan. The price of soybean meal will continue to be maintained at a high level. Enterprises need to dynamically monitor the price trend in the international market , Prudently procured; the trend of hog prices continued to drop steadily, the comprehensive forecast of live hog prices may be maintained at between 5.71 and 6.12 yuan; the profit-making period of pigs in China is about 37 months; pig industry is still expected to be profitable by the end of the year Period, but the spring of next year may turn into a loss period; pig enterprises should note that the sale of piglets should now be high season, to build confidence to meet the new round of sales of climax piglets; commodity farms should be noted that it is still being transferred Before the loss period, it is necessary to seize this fighter plane and actively make up for the bargain and strive for the final profit-making opportunity this year.