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进入21世纪,国际能源形势有了很大的变化,最显著的变化是“石油顶峰论”和“化石能源枯竭论”已经销声匿迹。全球能源结构在不断发展之中,每个时代都有处于支配地位的能源,开始有木柴,然后是煤炭,再往后是石油。煤炭时代(1865~1913年)经历了49年,石油时代(1913~2014年)经历了100年。当石油时代才经历二十几年的时候,“石油枯竭论”曾盛极一时,人们就嚷嚷要用新能源来替代石油等化石能源。进入21世纪后,这种声音逐步被其他声音所替代。
Into the 21st century, the international energy situation has undergone great changes, the most significant change is “oil peak theory ” and “fossil energy depletion theory ” has disappeared. As the world’s energy mix continues to evolve, there is a dominating source of energy in every age, starting with firewood, then coal, and then oil. The coal age (1865 ~ 1913) has experienced 49 years, the petroleum era (1913 ~ 2014) has experienced 100 years. When the oil era went through more than two decades, when “oil depletion theory” was flourishing, people shouted for alternative energy sources such as oil to replace fossil fuels. Into the 21st century, this voice gradually replaced by other voices.