当前对一些地震预报方法的评价有较大的分歧。对于同一方法,有的举出若干报准的震例加以肯定,有的举出虚报和漏报的例子加以否定。究竟如何处理这个问题?最好能够对较长时间内的大量预报结果进行统计,求出虚报率和漏报率,然后用它们评价方法的效果。本 Currently, there are big differences in the evaluation of some earthquake prediction methods. For the same method, some cases of affirming the quiz to be affirmed, and some examples of false and omissions to be negative. How to deal with this problem? It is best to be able to count a large number of long-term forecast results, find the false alarm rate and false negative rate, and then use them to evaluate the effectiveness of the method. this