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从国内条件看,新一轮经济增长的基础比较扎实,经济运行稳定性明显提高,可持续性也相应增强。明年是十一五规划的开局之年,从三大需求方面分析,预计明年消费增幅在12%左右,投资增长保持在20%左右,出口增长仍会保持在20%以上,进口增长会接近20%。综合模型预测结果,预计明年GDP增长率为9.2%左右。
Judging from the domestic conditions, the foundation of the new round of economic growth is relatively solid, the stability of economic operations has been markedly improved, and the sustainability has also been correspondingly enhanced. Next year is the first year of the 11th Five-Year Plan. According to the analysis of the three major demands, it is estimated that the growth of consumption will be around 12% next year, the investment growth will be maintained at about 20%, the export growth will remain above 20% and the import growth will approach 20 %. Based on the forecast results of the integrated model, it is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be around 9.2% next year.