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经济增长体现在经济总量的持续扩张上,经济总量的形成需要满足经济总供给和总需求的“短边规则”。经济增长的总量驱动效应与经济周期的阶段性密切相关。我国改革开放30多年来的经济发展经历了三种基本阶段:供给总量单因素驱动阶段;供给总量和需求总量双因素驱动阶段;总需求成为经济增长关键影响因素阶段。我国经济增长在市场化和工业化进程中已完成了上述三个阶段的转变。随着我国经济周期波动性显著降低和经济增速在高位稳定,新中国成立以来第一轮增长型长波的主体已经形成,并为我国全面建设小康社会构筑了坚实的经济基础。
Economic growth is reflected in the continuous expansion of the total economy. The formation of an economy needs to meet the “short-side rule” that meets the total economic supply and aggregate demand. The driving effect of the total economic growth is closely related to the stage of the economic cycle. The economic development in the past 30 years of our country’s reform and opening up has undergone three basic stages: the single-factor-driven phase of total supply, the two-factor-driven phase of total supply and total demand, and the aggregate demand as the key factor of economic growth. China’s economic growth has completed the transformation of the above three stages in the process of marketization and industrialization. With the significant reduction in the volatility of our economy and the steady growth of the economy, the first wave of growth-type longwave since the founding of New China has been formed and a solid economic foundation has been built for building an overall well-to-do society in our country.