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月季黑斑病是月季育苗生产中潜在的毁灭性病害之一,为了有效控制该病的发生与危害,经过2008~2015年对该病的系统观察,结合气象要素,总结出了影响该病害发生灾变的气象要素,并建立了适合上海本地的中期测报预警数学模型,符合率97%以上,达到了较理想的预报和高效指导适期防治的效果。
Rose black spot is one of the potential devastating diseases in seedling production in order to effectively control the occurrence and the harm of the disease. After systematic observation of the disease from 2008 to 2015 and the combination of meteorological factors, it is concluded that the occurrence of the disease Catastrophic meteorological elements and established a mid-term forecasting and early warning mathematical model suitable for Shanghai. The coincidence rate reached above 97%, achieving a better forecast and effective guidance on the prevention and control of the disease.