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电力工业正在进行打破垄断、鼓励竞争的市场化改革,在这个过程中,市场参与者将获得不少的机会,同时他们也将面临巨大的风险,一个关键的问题是市场参与者如何来管理这些新的风险。市场环境下的电力价格呈现出比管制条件下更为复杂的变化形式,发电商要同时面对燃料市场和电力市场中的市场风险。该文首先在燃料市场和电量市场之间构造出交叉商品组合,在此基础上引入摆动期权合约设计了发电商的风险回避模型。该模型形式简单,易于实现,通过该模型发电商能够比较有效地回避市场风险。
The power industry is undergoing market-based reforms to break the monopoly and encourage competition. In the process, market participants will have many opportunities and they will also face enormous risks. A key issue is how market participants manage these New risk. Electricity prices in the market environment show more complicated changes than the regulatory conditions. The power producers must face the market risks in the fuel and power markets at the same time. Firstly, this paper constructs a cross product mix between the fuel market and the electricity market, and then introduces a swing option contract to design a risk avoidance model for the generator. The model is simple and easy to implement. With this model, the generator can avoid the market risk more effectively.