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在改革日益深化的今天,为了能够更好的利用财政分权对我国农业经济增长情况的研究,本文通过研究影响农业发展的相关理论和财政分权制度,提出假设,选取变量,并通过Dea malmquist指数分析法进行分析,利用Tobit面板模型进行回归分析,并进一步深化指标选择,得到影响农业发展的指标因素为政府干预、劳动力、人耕面积、技术条件和农业规模。之后,在Griliches生产函数的基础上,提出了绩效模型,得到了政府干预和农业规模对农业经济的增长影响最大,且呈正比;人耕面积次之;技术条件和劳动力虽然对农业经济具有影响,但是影响程度不确定的结论。本文的研究为农业在财政分权的条件下实现经济的增长具有指导作用,同时也为其他行业在该背景下的发展打下理论基础。
In the deepening of the reform, in order to make better use of fiscal decentralization of China’s agricultural economic growth, this paper studies the impact of agricultural development related theories and fiscal decentralization system, put forward hypotheses, select variables, and through Dea malmquist Exponential analysis, Tobit panel model for regression analysis, and to further deepen the selection of indicators to get the indicators of agricultural development affected by government intervention, labor force, man-made area, technical conditions and agricultural scale. Then, based on the Griliches production function, a performance model is proposed, and the government intervention and the scale of agriculture have the greatest impact on the growth of the agricultural economy. The proportion of people and cultivated land is the second; while the technical conditions and labor force have an impact on the agricultural economy , But the impact of the level of uncertainty conclusion. The research in this paper can guide the economic growth of agriculture under the condition of fiscal decentralization, and lay a theoretical foundation for the development of other industries in this context.