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8月,沪胶期价在18000元以上小幅振荡,蓄势酝酿,显然图谋在9月爆发新的一轮大行情。尽管诸如割胶旺季、经济衰退、退税调低及无形贸易壁垒等许多利空因素打压着沪胶的上涨,然而,国内消费尤其是轮胎产业需求高速与持续的增长令我们认为沪胶未来振荡反弹的可能性更大,801合约期价有望冲上22000元。
In August, Hujiao period slightly above 18,000 yuan oscillation, was brewing, apparently trying to erupt in September a new round of big market. Although many negative factors such as the season of rubber tapping, the economic downturn, the reduction of tax rebates and the invisible trade barriers have put pressure on the rise of Hujiao, the rapid and sustained growth of domestic consumption, especially the demand of the tire industry, makes us think the future rally of Hujiao may rebound Larger, 801 contract price is expected to rush to 22,000 yuan.