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从目前情况看,今年的国民 经济运行与去年的前低后 高不同,呈现出一种持续加速的增长态势。一季度GDP增长7.6％;上半年增长7.8％;三季度仍将保持在高位运行,而去年四季度较低的增长基数,将可能使今年第四季度GDP继续呈增长态势,因而预计全年GDP增长将达到7.9％,增速比去年提高0.6个百分点。 在国债发行规模没有扩大的情况下,今年经济运行之所以出现止降回升、持续加速增长、多项经济指标好于预期,主要原因是以下几个因素: 一是持续加速增长的外贸出口对GDP增长贡献明显大于去年。1～8月份,我国外贸出口2007亿
Judging from the current situation, the operation of the national economy of this year is different from the previous year’s low level and the high level of last year, showing a continuously accelerating growth trend. GDP growth of 7.6% in the first quarter; first half growth of 7.8%; the third quarter will remain high, while the fourth quarter of last year’s low growth base will likely make the fourth quarter of this year, GDP continued to show growth, it is estimated that the annual GDP The growth will reach 7.9%, an increase of 0.6% over the previous year. Under the circumstances that the issue scale of treasury bonds has not expanded, the reasons for the economic operation of this year to come to a stop and to rise, keep accelerating growth and a number of economic indicators are better than expected mainly due to the following factors: First, the sustained and accelerating growth of exports to GDP The contribution of growth is obviously greater than last year. From January to August, China’s foreign trade exports reached 100 billion yuan