2016年的增长走势恐怕是前低后高。当前经济的下滑趋势在2016年年中可能有所逆转,年底会有所回升。2015年是6.8%,因为第四季度会略有下降,2016年略有回升,2017年还是这样的格局,6.7、6.8或者高一点。中国经济目前处于“深秋”中国经济目前的发展态势,我个人喜欢用的一个形容词是“深秋”。我不认为我们是寒冬,但都感受到了深深的凉意。为什么说中国经济处于 The growth trend in 2016 is probably low before high. The current economic downturn may reverse in mid-2016 and will pick up by the end of the year. It is 6.8% in 2015, as it will decline slightly in the fourth quarter and a slight rebound in 2016. This is still the pattern in 2017, 6.7, 6.8 or higher. The Chinese economy is currently in a “late autumn” current trend of development in China’s economy. One adjective I personally like to use is “late autumn”. I do not think we are winter, but all felt a deep coolness. Why China’s economy is at