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在BDI指数反弹和国企改革等利好作用带动下,下半年航运业的景气度回升是一个大概率事件。从今年5月初不到600点,到8月初突破1200点。短短3个月间,代表国际干散货运价水平的BDI指数(波罗的海综合运费指数)上涨逾100%。与此同时,中国远洋、中国海运两大航运央企的整合预期日渐升温,有望带来行业集中度的提高。多方因素支撑下,
Driven by the favorable rebound of BDI index and reform of state-owned enterprises, the boom of the shipping industry in the second half of the year is a big probability event. From less than 600 in early May this year to 1200 in early August. In just three months, the BDI index representing the international dry bulk freight rate (Baltic Freight Index) gained more than 100%. In the meantime, the consolidation of China COSCO and China Shipping, the two shipping central enterprises, is expected to heat up gradually and is expected to bring about an increase in industry concentration. Multi-factor support,