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文章基于480位农户的问卷调查数据,利用二元Probit模型,识别农户林地流转行为的关键影响因素,分析结果为:户主年龄、家庭年收入以及林地流转年限对农户林地流转行为具有显著的负面影响;户主文化程度、林地块数、是否拥有林权证、林地流转政府支持度、林地流转程序便利度、是否参加林业合作组织、林地价格以及林地流转模式对农户林地流转行为具有显著的正面影响。
Based on the survey data of 480 farmers, this paper uses the binary Probit model to identify the key factors that affect the farmers ’forestland turnover. The results are as follows: The age of head of household, annual household income, and the period of forestland conversion have a significant negative impact on the farmers’ forestland transfer ; Household cultural level, number of forest plots, forest ownership certificate, government support for the transfer of forestland, ease of forestland transfer procedure, whether or not to participate in forestry cooperation organization, forestland price and the mode of forestland conversion have a significant positive impact on the farmers’ forestland transfer.