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目的探讨在监老残犯心理健康状况和对在监犯人再犯罪内在机制进行研究,以建立预测模型。方法对120份老残犯SCL-90问卷进行分析了解其健康状况,并且根据监狱相关罪犯的表现评价,运用SPSS和WM-2000监狱统计软件分析。结果所有因素均显著高于常模分数,方差分析发现年龄对各个变量影响显著,尤其是人际敏感,(F=9.043,P<0.001)。另外躯体化(F=7.497,P<0.01)。恐怖(F=7.108,P<0.01)。再犯罪预测模型为敌意=-5.105+0.088×年龄+(-0.013)×监区+0.028×躯体化+0.049×强迫+0.094×人际敏感+(-0.094)×抑郁+(-0.048)×焦虑+(-0.027)×恐怖+0.48×妄想+0.17×精神病性+0.033×其他。结论在监老残犯心理健康水平较差,再犯罪预测模型拟合良好,对再犯罪情况有相当预测力(R2=0.599)。
Objective To explore the mental health status of prisoners with disabilities and to study the internal mechanism of re-criminals in prison in order to establish the prediction model. Methods A total of 120 SCL-90 questionnaires were analyzed to understand their health status. Based on the performance evaluation of prisoners, SPSS and WM-2000 prison statistic software were used to analyze the SCL-90 questionnaires. Results All factors were significantly higher than those of normotensives. ANOVA found that age had a significant effect on all variables, especially interpersonal sensitivity (F = 9.043, P <0.001). In addition, somatization (F = 7.497, P <0.01). Terror (F = 7.108, P <0.01). Reincognition model was hostile = -5.105 + 0.088 × age + (- 0.013) × surveillance + 0.028 × somatization + 0.049 × forcing + 0.094 × interpersonal sensitivity + (- 0.094) × depression + (-0.048) × anxiety + (-0.027) × horror + 0.48 × delusion + 0.17 × psychosis + 0.033 × other. Conclusion The mental health of the disabled offenders is poor, and the model of reincognition predicts a good fit, with a considerable predictive power (R2 = 0.599).