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从国际上看,国际安全、油价上涨、美元汇率持续走低和国际贸易保护主义抬头是今年经济发展的四个不利因素。从国内看,制约经济增长的问题突出表现在六个方面:第一,今年粮食进一步增产和农民进一步增收的难度加大;第二,国内投资总规模仍然偏大,部分行业过度扩张有反弹的迹象,新开工项目到11月底达到13万个,项目投资大,膨胀后劲大,各地的投资冲动强,部分已关闭的小钢铁、小水泥厂有恢复生产的迹象;第三,今年煤电油运紧张的问题仍十分突出,其中一直处于超
Internationally, international security, rising oil prices, the continuous decline of the U.S. dollar exchange rate and the rise of international trade protectionism are four unfavorable factors in this year’s economic development. From a domestic point of view, the problems restricting economic growth are highlighted in six aspects: first, the difficulty in further increasing grain output and further increasing peasants’ income this year; second, the total size of domestic investment is still too large, with some sectors over-expanding and rebounding Signs that the number of newly started projects will reach 130,000 by the end of November, the investment in the project will be large, the potential to expand will be strong, the investment impulse in various places will be strong, and some closed-down small steel and small cement plants will have signs of resuming production. Thirdly, this year, Tension is still very prominent problem, which has been super