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民用航空器四维航迹预测是保障飞行安全、提升运行效率、缓解航班延误、倡导绿色飞行的有效支撑和重要保证。四维航迹预测的研究集中于如下领域:预测结构与流程、预测模型与方法、误差分析与精度提升,其中航迹预测模型与方法是核心,主要包括混合估计模型、质点运动模型与机器学习方法。最后,总结与提炼开展民用航空器四维航迹预测研究的思路和热点,并相应指出了未来的研究方向。
Civil Aviation aircraft trajectory prediction is to ensure four-dimensional flight safety, improve operational efficiency, ease flight delays, promote effective support and an important guarantee for green flights. Four-dimensional trajectory prediction research focuses on the following areas: prediction structure and flow, prediction models and methods, error analysis and accuracy improvement, of which trajectory prediction models and methods are the core, including hybrid estimation model, particle motion model and machine learning methods . Finally, summarizing and refining the ideas and hotspots of the research on the four-dimensional trajectory prediction of civil aircraft, and pointing out the future research directions accordingly.