【摘 要】
:
海上大风是一种灾害性海洋天气现象,能够准确、及时的预报海上大风对沿海地区的防灾减灾具有十分重要的意义。目前近海风场的预报方法有经验预报、统计预报、数值模式预报和
【机 构】
:
中国气象科学研究院,国家海洋环境预报中心,
论文部分内容阅读
海上大风是一种灾害性海洋天气现象,能够准确、及时的预报海上大风对沿海地区的防灾减灾具有十分重要的意义。目前近海风场的预报方法有经验预报、统计预报、数值模式预报和统计动力(数值产品的释用)预报等。本文主要针对这些预报方法进行汇总与分析,为预报员提供可靠的依据。
The gale at sea is a kind of disastrous ocean weather phenomenon. It is of great importance to forecast the wind gust in the coastal area accurately and timely in disaster prevention and mitigation. At present, the forecast methods of offshore wind farms include experience forecast, statistical forecast, numerical model forecast and forecast of statistical motivation (release of numerical products). This article mainly summarizes and analyzes these forecasting methods and provides a reliable basis for forecasters.
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