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2006年第一季度,世界经济形势明显好干预期。英国《经济学家》杂志的统计资料显示,2006年第一季度世界经济同比增长5．2％,较2005年第四季度高0．3个百分点。其中,美国经济增长强劲、欧元区经济增长有所加快,日本经济仍维持较好的增长势头,新兴市场经济体继续高速增长。工业国家的就业形势普遍改善,通货膨胀压力有所减缓,新兴市场经济体的通货膨胀形势则相对稳定。与此同时,国际金融市场动荡有所加剧,全球股市总体走强,但波动性明显增大。美元跌势加重,长短期利率明显上升,国际商品价格特别是贵金属和有色金属价格大幅上涨。世界经济面临的主要风险仍然是国际地缘政治局势变数较大、国际油价继续上涨和全球经济失衡难以消除。
In the first quarter of 2006, the world economic situation was obviously good intervention period. Statistics from the British “Economist” magazine show that the world economy grew by 5.2% in the first quarter of 2006 over the same period of last year, up 0.3 percentage points from the fourth quarter of 2005. Among them, the strong economic growth in the United States, the accelerated growth of the euro area economy, the Japanese economy still maintained a good momentum of growth, emerging market economies continued to grow rapidly. The employment situation in industrialized countries generally improved, the pressure of inflation has slowed down, and the inflation in emerging market economies has been relatively stable. At the same time, the turmoil in international financial markets intensified and the global stock markets generally strengthened but their volatility increased significantly. The decline in the dollar increased, short-term interest rates rose significantly, and international commodity prices, especially precious and non-ferrous metals prices rose sharply. The main risks to the world economy are still the large number of variables in the geopolitical situation in the world. The international oil prices will continue to rise and the global economic imbalance will be hard to eliminate.