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运用增长率法,建立指数增长的模型,结合规划期的人口规模,预测规划期的居民出行量和居民出行强度,以及乘坐出租车人口,随后利用出租车空载率为主要参数,建立数学模型并预测出租车的最佳数量.利用经济学分析方法,用埃奇沃思盒式图描述交易双方的福利变化,建立均衡时的价格竞争模型,寻求使司机和乘客达到帕累托改进的可能性.分别就油价调整前后的情况,找出调整起租基价和综合单位里程车价能使双方都满意的次优方案.进一步分析了起租基价和里程的合理性,提出了数据采集的建议和方案,并向市公用事业管理部门概括介绍.模型对确定其他类似准公共产品的供应量和定价也具有一定的借鉴意义.
By using the growth rate method and establishing a model of exponential growth, the mathematic model is established based on the population size of the planning period, the forecast of the residents’ travel volume during the planning period and the resident’s travel intensity, and the taxi population, then using the taxi no-load rate as the main parameter And predict the optimal number of taxis.Using the economic analysis method, using the Edgeworth box diagram to describe the welfare changes of both parties, establishing a balanced price competition model and seeking drivers and passengers to achieve the Pareto improvement potential Respectively, before and after the oil price adjustment to find out the adjustment of the starting price and comprehensive unit mileage car prices can make both satisfied with the sub-optimal program.Further analysis of the starting rent base price and mileage is reasonable, put forward the recommendations of data collection And programs, and general introduction to the municipal utilities management department.The model also has some reference to determine the supply and pricing of other similar quasi-public products.