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以河南省为例,基于能源、资本、劳动力三要素的C-D生产函数构建了能源消费与经济增长间关系模型,并采用协整分析和格兰杰因果关系检验方法,分析了能源消费对GDP的影响。结果表明,河南省的能源消费与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,且存在单向格兰杰因果关系,即能源消费导致经济增长,但对经济增长影响最大的是劳动力水平的提高。
Taking Henan Province as an example, this paper constructs a model of the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth based on the CD production function of energy, capital and labor, and uses the cointegration analysis and Granger causality test to analyze the relationship between energy consumption and GDP influences. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Henan Province, and there is one-way Granger causality, that is, energy consumption leads to economic growth. However, the greatest impact on economic growth is the improvement of the labor force.