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预计聚酯切片短期内行情的大起大落将不复出现,全年平均价最高不超过1995年的平均价18190元/t,最低不低于1994年的平均价12300元/t,理由是:1)1996年世界涤纶产能将出现过剩430万t,聚酯有望缓和国内市场.2)国内1995年一批新的聚酯装置开车,并逐步达到高开工率,1996年中后期还将有石化企业的一批聚酯工程开车,聚酯产品将多于1995年预计的75万t.
It is expected that the ups and downs of polyester chips in the short term will no longer occur. The average annual maximum price does not exceed the average price of 18,190 yuan/t in 1995, and the minimum price is not less than the average price of 12,300 yuan/t in 1994. The reasons are: 1) In 1996, the world’s polyester production capacity will have an excess of 4.3 million tons. Polyester is expected to ease the domestic market. 2) In 1995, a number of new polyester plants were started in China and gradually reached a high operating rate. In the middle and later years of 1996, there will be petrochemical enterprises. A batch of polyester projects will drive, and polyester products will exceed 750,000 t in 1995.