论文部分内容阅读
电力工业是关系到国民经济命脉的重要行业,对电力市场环境下电价变动的影响因素和经济效应进行分析,并对可能造成的危机进行有效预警,有助于确保国民经济的持续健康发展。通过模拟包含火电、水电、核电、风电和光伏发电等多种发电类型的电力市场交易,实现了6维度180粒度的价格效应分析。基于投入产出表研究了国内市场电价及国际市场汇率对国民经济的影响,建立宏观、微观2层次,包含43个指标的4级预警体系,实现电力市场与国民经济的多层次、多指标关联预警。使用本软件对我国西北某省的实际系统进行模拟分析,得到较为可靠的分析结果,可为新一轮电力市场改革及产业结构调整升级提供理论指导。
The power industry is an important industry that is related to the lifeline of the national economy. It analyzes the influencing factors and economic effects of electricity price changes in the power market environment and effectively warns of possible crises, which helps to ensure the sustained and healthy development of the national economy. By simulating electricity market transactions involving various power generation types such as thermal power, hydropower, nuclear power, wind power and photovoltaic power generation, the price effect analysis of six dimensions 180 granularity has been realized. Based on the input-output table, the paper studies the impact of the domestic market electricity price and the international market exchange rate on the national economy and establishes a 4-level early warning system at the macro and micro levels and 43 indicators to achieve the multi-level and multi-indicator correlation between the electricity market and the national economy Early warning. Using this software to simulate the actual system of a province in the northwest of our country and get more reliable analysis results, it can provide theoretical guidance for the new round of electricity market reform and industrial restructuring and upgrading.