中国宏观经济发展与经济政策转型

来源 :中国人民大学学报 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:k123321
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[主持人语]2007—2016年注定将成为现代经济史上最引人瞩目的时段。首先,这十年是全球经济从“大缓和”向大衰退全面转变的十年。这种巨大的转变从根本上颠覆了20世纪90年代以来宏观经济学所建立的新共识,打破了传统宏观经济政策的实施模式,宏观经济运行创新不断出现,宏观经济学理论框架亟待重构。其次,这十年也是中国经济在世界经济危机冲击下从高速增长的“中国经济奇迹”向“中高速经济”全面过渡的10年,是中国经济在世界经济“新平庸”状态下呈现出“新常态”的10年。这种大转变直接导致中国经济运行机制发生巨大的变化、经济政策框架面临巨大的挑战、发展战略和发展思路出现重大调整,这就要求我们必须在重新认识中国宏观经济新运行机制和运行逻辑的基础上,梳理中国宏观经济决策的权力框架和工具体系。 [Moderator’s language] 2007-2016 destined to become the most eye-catching period in the history of modern economy. First of all, these ten years are the ten years in which the global economy has been fully transformed from the “grand easing” to the grand recession. This tremendous change fundamentally subverted the new consensus established by macroeconomics since the 1990s and broke the mode of implementation of the traditional macroeconomic policies. The macroeconomic innovation continued to emerge and the theoretical framework of macroeconomics needed to be restructured urgently. Secondly, the past 10 years are also the 10 years in which the Chinese economy has made an all-round transition from the high-speed economic growth “China’s economic miracle” to the “medium-and-high-speed economy” under the impact of the world economic crisis. State showed “new normal” 10 years. Such a great change has directly led to tremendous changes in China’s economic operation mechanism. The economic policy framework is facing enormous challenges and major adjustments are made in its development strategy and development thinking. This requires that we must re-understand the new macroeconomic operating mechanism and operational logic in China Based on the combing of China’s macroeconomic decision-making power framework and tool system.
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