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据来自有关部门的预测,我国生产资料明年行情如下:煤炭:今年市场呈现严重疲软态势。预计今后随水泥、钢材、火电需求的增加,煤炭使用量会相应回升,明年增幅可在1至2个百分点左右。此外,如果压缩1亿吨煤产量的目标能够实现,会刺激煤炭价格有所回升。钢材:钢材总量需求会有增长,但结构特点明显,主要是螺纹钢、线材等建筑用材增加较多;部分机械产品用钢会相应升温;铁路、电力建设所需的重轨增加量大。随着打私力度加大,冷轧薄板、镀锌板、不锈钢板等低价货将大量减少。明年钢材需求量会继续小幅增长,预计不会超过5%。其中出口需求继续减少,总体市场仍为买方格局。
According to predictions from relevant departments, China’s production data for the next year will be quoted as follows: Coal: This year, the market has experienced severe weakness. It is expected that in the future, with the increase in demand for cement, steel, and thermal power, the use of coal will rise accordingly, and the growth rate for next year may be about 1 to 2 percentage points. In addition, if the goal of compressing 100 million tons of coal production can be achieved, it will stimulate the recovery of coal prices. Steel: The total demand for steel will increase, but the structural characteristics are obvious, mainly due to the increase in construction materials such as rebars and wire rods; some steels for mechanical products will heat up accordingly; and the heavy rails needed for railway and power construction will increase in large quantities. With the increase in the intensity of private use, cold-rolled sheet, galvanized sheet, stainless steel and other low-priced goods will be greatly reduced. Steel demand will continue to grow slightly next year and it is expected that it will not exceed 5%. Among them, export demand continued to decrease, and the overall market remained a buyer pattern.