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运用集对分析法从经济敏感性和应对能力对我国15个典型旅游城市的经济系统脆弱性进行测度。研究表明:各旅游城市经济系统普遍具有较高的应对能力,但系统敏感性差别较大,其中,武汉和济南由于经济敏感性较低,应对能力较高,表现为低脆弱性;厦门和广州因经济敏感性高、应对能力较低而处于高脆弱性等级。障碍因素分析表明,客源市场集中度、旅游外汇收入占旅游总收入比重、旅游总收入占GDP比重等敏感性因子,地方财政自给率、产业结构多样化指数等应对能力因子是影响各旅游城市经济脆弱性的关键因素。
This paper uses set pair analysis method to measure the economic system vulnerability of 15 typical tourist cities in China from economic sensitivity and coping ability. The research shows that the economic systems of tourism cities generally have higher coping ability, but the system sensitivity is quite different. Among them, Wuhan and Jinan are characterized by low vulnerability because of their low economic sensitivity and high response capacity. Xiamen and Guangzhou Due to high economic sensitivity, coping ability is low and at a high level of vulnerability. Barriers analysis shows that the coping capacity factors such as market concentration of tourists, tourism foreign exchange earnings as a share of total tourism revenue, total tourism revenue as a share of GDP, local financial self-sufficiency rate and diversification index of industrial structure are the major factors influencing tourism cities The key factor of economic vulnerability.