将多标准决策(MCDM)方法应用于生物质精炼工艺选择的前期设计阶段,可以筛除竞争力较差的工艺。决策机构要求将生物质精炼工艺在制浆造纸车间实施的一系列评价指标按重要性的高低进行排序。本文采用了由三个不同专家组组成的决策机构,并对各个决策机构的结论进行了比较和评价。其中的两个决策机构专家组成员具有相似的生物质精炼科研背景,分别来自政府和研究所;第三个决策机构的专家组由制浆造纸行业的决策者组成。一般而言,三个决策机构的决策结论应该是一致的,特别是两个生物质精炼专家组;但与行业决策者专家组所得结论间存在的差异还是应该引起重视。评价指标共有八个,专家对其中的三个存在不同意见,这些差异是由行业决策者和生物质精炼专家组的预期差异引起的。例如,生物质精炼专家考虑到精炼技术短期前景的重要性,所以认为投资回报标准比技术信息有更高的重要性。与此相反,行业决策者认为特定的技术信息应该根据可能成为未来采用技术的性能评估,进行评判和调整,标准的差异还包括对不同标准理解的不同。本文阐释了如何系统地估测生物质精炼的过程和产品,在前期的设计阶段,通过考虑过程数据和其他的估测信息,采用简单的评测标准,可以清楚地分辨出决策机构中不同决策者间观点的差异。 Applying the Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) approach to the pre-design phase of biomass refining process selection can eliminate less competitive processes. Decision-making bodies require that a series of indicators of evaluation of biomass refining processes be implemented in the pulp and paper plant by order of importance. This paper uses a decision-making body composed of three different expert groups and compares and evaluates the conclusions of the various decision-making bodies. Two of the decision-making body’s panelists have similar scientific research background in biomass refining, from the government and research institutes respectively; the third panel of decision-making bodies is made up of policymakers in the pulp and paper industry. Generally speaking, the decision-making conclusions of the three decision-making bodies should be consistent, especially for two biomass refining expert groups; however, the differences with the conclusion drawn by the expert group of industrial decision-makers should still be given attention. There are eight evaluation indicators, and three of the experts have different opinions. The differences are caused by the expected differences between the industry policy makers and the biomass refining expert group. For example, considering the importance of short-term prospects for refining technology, biomass refining experts consider ROI to be more important than technical information. In contrast, industry policy makers believe that specific technical information should be judged and adjusted based on performance assessments that may be future-proof technologies, and differences in standards also include differences in understanding of different standards. This paper illustrates how to systematically estimate biomass refining processes and products. In the early design stage, by using process data and other estimation information, simple evaluation criteria can be used to clearly identify the different decision makers in the decision-making body Differences between perspectives.