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以云南省为例,研究边疆少数民族省份区域系统协调发展演化特点。用熵值法分析1994—2008年间的时间序列、不同地域尺度的区域系统协调发展状况,得出云南省区域系统整体处于环境制约型,但处于不同发展阶段的市州其主要制约因素存在差异,区域发展总体遵循从经济制约型向资源、环境制约型转变,通过时、空角度分析发现云南省区域经济发展水平与系统协调度的关系存在一定程度的背离。应用基于VAR模型的格兰杰因果检验和脉冲响应函数剖析了云南省区域系统发展的驱动机制;并据此提出一些建议。
Taking Yunnan Province as an example, this paper studies the characteristics of the coordinated evolution of regional systems in the minority provinces in the border regions. Using entropy method to analyze the time series and the coordinated development of regional systems at different geographical scales from 1994 to 2008, it is concluded that the overall regional system in Yunnan Province is in an environment-constrained environment. However, the main constraints in different stages of development are different. The overall development of the region follows the transition from economic constraints to resources and environmental constraints. From the perspective of time and space, it is found that the relationship between regional economic development level and the degree of system coordination in Yunnan Province is somewhat deviated. The Granger causality test and impulse response function based on VAR model are used to analyze the driving mechanism of regional system development in Yunnan Province. Some suggestions are put forward accordingly.