“十二五”的第一场电荒电荒来势汹汹在上一轮经济上升周期时,中国也时常出现电荒。但那时电荒往往发生在用电高峰的夏季,而且主要是江浙沪等沿海经济发达地区。而2011年的电荒发生早、来势凶、范围广(见表1)。从用电需求看:不具可持续性2011年一季度的电能消费水平比往年有大幅提升,为电荒埋下了伏笔。用电量飙升的原因主要有两个:一是2010年的冬天特别冷。根据中国气象局相关资料,2010年冬天(截至2011年2月底),全国大部地区气温正常偏冷。全 “Twelve-Five ” the first electricity shortage power shortage menacing In the last round of economic rise cycle, China often appear power shortage. But at that time electricity shortage often occurred in the peak summer, and mainly Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai coastal economically developed areas. The power shortage in 2011 occurred early, fierce, a wide range (see Table 1). From the electricity demand perspective: not sustainable The first quarter of 2011, the level of energy consumption has significantly increased over previous years, laid the groundwork for the electricity shortage. There are two main reasons for the soaring electricity consumption: First, the winter of 2010 is particularly cold. According to relevant information from China Meteorological Administration, in the winter of 2010 (as of the end of February 2011), temperatures in most parts of the country are normally colder. all