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2004年世界经济增长总体上呈现出良好态势,美国和东亚经济的表现尤为突出,日本和欧洲经济也开始复苏。由于国际石油价格上涨、美国等发达国家提高利率等因素的作用,世界经济增长在下半年受到抑制,预计 2005年将走向温和增长。世界经济形势变动增加了中国经济前景的不确定性,但不会产生过大的不利影响。
The world economic growth in 2004 showed a generally good trend. The performance of the United States and East Asia economies was particularly prominent. The economies of Japan and Europe started to recover. Due to rising international oil prices and the raising of interest rates by the developed countries such as the United States, world economic growth will be restrained in the second half of the year and it is estimated that the economy will grow moderately in 2005. Changes in the world economic situation have increased the uncertainty of China’s economic outlook, but it will not have unduly adverse consequences.