世界银行表示,2015年原油期货价格平均将下跌45%,到2017年才会稍微回升。国际能源署首席经济学家Fatih Birol表示,即便伊朗与六大国在6月底达成最终的核协议,在5年内国际原油市场上的伊朗原油都不会显著增加。但从长期来看,原油市场供大于求的局面并没有改善。巴克莱银行表示,2015年下半年石油市场供应过剩将继续扩大。世界银行还预计,包 The World Bank said that crude oil futures prices will drop by an average of 45% in 2015 and will not pick up until 2017. Fatih Birol, chief economist of the International Energy Agency, said Iran’s crude oil in the international crude oil market will not increase significantly in five years even if the final nuclear agreement between Iran and the six major nations is reached by the end of June. However, in the long run, the situation of oversupply in the crude oil market has not improved. Barclays Bank said the oil market oversupply will continue to expand in the second half of 2015. The World Bank also predicts that the package