2012年11月的中国共产党第十八次全国代表大会引起了全世界的关注,而研究中国共产党的外国专家学者也一直在评估其优势和劣势,并且假设了几种中国共产党在未来可能出现的前景。针对相关研究,作者首先回顾和整理了相关的学术成果,将国外的中国共产党研究大致分为三个阶段,并介绍了不同阶段学者们所关注的问题及其原因。其次,对近20年来国外学者的研究成果及现状进行分析,并将相关研究分为了悲观派和乐观派两类。认为从2009年开始,中国共产党自1997年来实行的政治改革与党内改革出现了停滞和倒退现象。最后,阐述了国外学者所假设的三种未来前景,并进一步提出为了应对迫在眉睫的社会、经济、教育和政治挑战,中国共产党需要重新将积极的政治改革提上日程。 The eighteenth National Congress of the Communist Party of China in November 2012 attracted worldwide attention. Foreign experts and scholars studying the Communist Party of China have also been assessing their strengths and weaknesses, and have assumed that several types of Chinese Communist Party may emerge in the future. prospect. According to the related research, the author first reviews and organizes the relevant academic achievements, divides the research on Chinese Communist Party abroad into three stages, and introduces the problems and their causes of scholars at different stages. Secondly, it analyzes the research results and present situation of foreign scholars in the past 20 years, and divides the related research into two types: the pessimist and the optimist. They think that since 2009, the political reform and intra-party reform carried out by the Chinese Communist Party since 1997 have shown stagnation and retrogression. Finally, it expounds the three future prospects assumed by foreign scholars and further points out that in response to the imminent social, economic, educational and political challenges, the Chinese Communist Party needs to put active political reforms on the agenda again.