Occurrence Regularity and Prediction Model of Underground Pest Adults in Hangzhou District of China

来源 :Plant Diseases and Pests | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:margaretclouis
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
To improve forecasting and sustained control level of underground pests, trapping quantity of underground pests (black cutworm,mole cricket and scarab) by lamps and their field dynamics in Hangzhou district from 2005 to 2011 were investigated in the paper. The results showed that different pests had obvious differences in population dynamic. The black cutworm (Agrotis ypsilon) had several damage peaks (late May, late June and late July) and the moth amount in early period was relatively high. The mole cricket (Gryllotalpa africana) had two damage peaks (late May to early July, early September to mid and late October). The scarab (Anomala corpulenta) had one damage peak (late May to late June). There were periodic changes in total quantity of underground pests among years, and the peak period appeared in the year of 2005, 2007 to 2009 and 2011, respectively. On this basis, temperature, humidity, rainfall and light were used as forecasting factors, using the method of stepwise regression, 19 factors with significant correlation were screened out and prediction models for occurrence quantity and occurrence period of the three pests were established. By using accuracy degree judge model for verification, the score values of prediction model for occurrence quantity and occurrence period of the three underground pests were more than 58 and 70, which indicated that the historical coincident rate and prediction accuracy of established prediction models were good. To improve forecasting and sustained control level of underground pests, trapping quantity of underground pests (black cutworm, mole cricket and scarab) by lamps and their field dynamics in Hangzhou district from 2005 to 2011 were investigated in the paper. The results showed that different pests had obvious differences in population dynamic. The black cutworm (Agrotis ypsilon) had several damage peaks (late May, late June and late July) and the moth amount in early period was relatively high. The mole cricket (Gryllotalpa africana) had two damage peaks (late May to early July, early September to mid and late October). The scarab (Anomala corpulenta) had one damage peak (late May to late June). There were periodic changes in total quantity of underground pests among years, and the peak on this basis, temperature, humidity, rainfall and light were used as forecasting factors, using the method of stepwise regression , 19 factors with significant correlation were screened out and prediction models for occurrence quantity and occurrence period of the three pests were established. By using accuracy degree judge model for verification, the score values ​​of prediction model for occurrence quantity and occurrence period of the three underground pests were more than 58 and 70, which indicates that the historical coincident rate and prediction accuracy of established prediction models were good.
其他文献
实质型角膜疱疹主要是对病毒抗原的免疫反应,一直用类固醇治疗,而其发病原因迄今未明。作者等考虑到本症基本上是病毒感染,因此局部和全身完全不用类固醇,结果获得良好效果
我们夫妇有时候说废话玩儿。“给你一件仙家法宝,你要什么?”我们都要隐身衣;各披一件,同出邀游。我们只求摆脱羁束,到处阅历,并不想为非作歹。可是玩得高兴,不免放肆淘气,于
(2015年7月)本期我国出口集装箱运输市场多数航线货量虽总体稳定,但旺季特征不明显,市场总体供大于求格局未变。为拉升处于低位的市场运价,船公司主动收缩运力规模,但因运力
Recent outbreaks of Zika virus(ZIKV) infections in Oceania’s islands and the Americas were characterized by high numbers of cases and the spread of the virus t
介绍了齿轮类零件的工艺规程自动生成系统。该系统直接从CAD系统中获取零件的有关信息,依据所建立的特征体素描述方法,自动生成零件的特征编码,采用零件自动识别的方法实现CAD/CA
目的:提升医疗机构药品不良反应报表质量。方法:通过收集ADR,分析信息反馈和报表质量的关系。结果:通过信息反馈,可提高报表质量。结论:将药品不良反应监测信息通过多种方式
《世界农药》杂志创刊于1979年,由上海市农药研究所主办,是集权威性、学术性、实用性为一体的农药专业双月刊,面向国内外公开发行。《世界农药》从农药品种、合成工艺、研究
达克宁又称硝酸咪康唑,此药对霉菌有抑制和杀灭作用,常用于体表霉菌所致的癣症。我院收治一例重度霉菌性角膜溃疡合并眼内炎患者,他院及我院都认为是眼球摘除的适应症,但患
江苏经济发展必须要有新思路,要有自己的战略定位。江苏经济发展离不开财税支持,财税部门要在江苏经济结构调整中发挥积极作用:转换财税观念,把握财税运作方向,把握财税资金
雷米封是治疗结核病常用必用的抗痨药,常见的不良反应主要是胃肠道反应,肝脏损害及周围神经炎,而雷米封导致小儿记忆力减退少见,现报道如下。1病例报告 息儿女,5岁,体重14.5