论文部分内容阅读
二、对第四个五年计划的概括评价第四个五年计划是将观测研究的项目分成长期预报、短期预报和地震发生机制的阐明等三类,并明确各项的目标而制定出来的。从每个项目的成果和展望来看,这一思路在主要方面是正确的。长期预报的目标在于预测发生地震可能性高的地方及其震级,以监视日本列岛及其周围地区为主。这样,根据这一预测,就可能限定地区,集中而有效地投入短期预报的观测研究手段。这样就可以展望,根据第四个五年计划
II. Summary Evaluation of the Fourth Five-year Plan The fourth five-year plan is to classify the observational projects into three categories: long-term forecast, short-term forecast and clarification of the mechanism of earthquake occurrence, and define the targets . From the results of each project and outlook, this idea is the main aspect is correct. The goal of long-term forecasting is to predict the places where earthquakes are likely to occur and their magnitude to monitor the Japanese archipelago and its surroundings. In this way, based on this prediction, it is possible to limit the region, focus and effective investment in short-term forecast observation and research tools. That way we can look ahead to the fourth five-year plan