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上个世纪50年代，壳牌石油公司的一 位地质学家马里昂·金·休伯特提出一种 理论，即推动现代工业社会兴起和现代人 类物质文明赖以生存的石油或化石能源， 其生产遵循着一条“钟型曲线”，当产量达 到钟顶的某一极限后，将持续下滑。该理 论也被称为“休伯特极限”(Hubbert’s Peak)。 半个世纪以来，特别是近十年，全球的石 油产量正逐渐地逼近这个极限。
In the 1950s, Marion King Hubert, a geologist with the Shell Oil Company, put forward the theory that the production of oil or fossil fuels to promote the rise of modern industrial society and the survival of modern human material civilization Following a “bell curve”, the output will continue to decline when it reaches a certain limit of the bell top. This theory is also known as Hubbert’s Peak. For half a century, and especially in the last decade, global oil production is gradually approaching this limit.