地震预报问题,当前尚处于探索阶段。地震工作者的责任,一方面要大胆实践与探索,另一方面也应该考虑地震预报对社会经济可能会造成损失以及会牵动千家万户的安宁生活。所以工作本身要求对待地震预报问题应持严慎态度。我们在作出预报之前,是否可以预测一下预报效果?衡量一下预报的依据是否可靠?预 Earthquake prediction, the current is still in the exploratory stage. On the one hand, the responsibility of earthquake workers should be boldly practiced and explored. On the other hand, earthquake prediction should also be considered as a possible cause of social and economic losses and will affect the peaceful lives of thousands of families. Therefore, the work itself requires that the issue of earthquake prediction should be held cautious. Can we predict the effect of the forecast before we make the forecast? Is it reliable to measure the forecast?