论文部分内容阅读
文章讨论了大型项目的费用估算,包括生产规模系数估算、设备系数估算、初步估算和详细估算的方法及其应用,在此基础上提出了控制大型项目费用的结构化技术及其15个关键步骤。着重讨论了预留费和不可预见费的定义与差别,以及运用区间估计进行风险分析的方法和不可预见费的确定方法等。最后,文章讨论了通过消除、转移、降低风险影响程度而规避大型项目风险的方法。
This paper discusses the cost estimation of large projects, including the method of estimating the scale of production, the estimation of equipment factors, the preliminary estimation and detailed estimation, and its application. Based on this, the paper proposes a structured technology to control the cost of large projects and its 15 key steps . It focuses on the definition and difference of reservation fee and unforeseeable fee as well as the methods of risk analysis using interval estimation and the method of determining unforeseen expenses. Finally, the article discusses ways to circumvent the risk of large projects by eliminating, shifting and reducing the impact of risk.