有关单位预测2015年中国对原铝的需求为2400万吨,而笔者的预测却超过了3100万吨,约比2010年的表观消费量翻一番有余。汽车制造业、轨道车辆制造业、建筑工业、新型可再生能源工业等是拉动铝消费高速增长、持续上升的主力发动机。中国2009年的汽车产销量双双超过1360万车辆,2010 The units forecast China’s demand for primary aluminum to be 24 million tons by 2015, while the author’s forecast exceeded 31 million tons, more than doubling the apparent consumption in 2010. Automobile manufacturing, rail vehicle manufacturing, construction industry, new renewable energy industry is driving the rapid growth of aluminum consumption, continued to rise in the main engine. China’s automobile production and sales both exceeded 13.6 million vehicles in 2009,