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近一个月来,宏观层面最大的特点是拉动经济增长的“一驾马车”——外贸出现异常,即出现自1997年以来的首度逆差,对经济增长产生负面影响。但全年外贸进出口出现逆差的可能性不大,顺差规模将此2002年有所缩小。此外,我国原油进口该月增长77.7%,美伊战争临近,我国石油安全问题凸显,未来中国这个“世界工厂”的工业化道路怎么走?
In the past month, the biggest characteristic at the macro level is the “one horse and carriage” driving economic growth - an exception in foreign trade, in which the first deficit since 1997 has had a negative impact on economic growth. However, it is not likely that there will be a deficit in the import and export of foreign trade throughout the year. The size of the surplus will have narrowed this year. In addition, China’s crude oil imports rose 77.7% this month, the U.S.-Iraq war is approaching, and the issue of oil security in our country is highlighted. In the future, how will China’s industrialization of the “world factory” go?