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国际能源机构的调查结果表明:目前世界石油需求表现为快速增长的势头,但石油市场供需仍能保持“脆弱的平衡”,由于库存量低,无论供需哪一方面出现一些事端,都会使近期石油市场失去平衡。中长期石油市场发展趋势表明,石油需求特别是运输燃料需求的增长将主要集中在亚洲地区,而石油供应的主要角色是中东产油国。到2010年世界上40％的一次能源需求将由石油来满足,石油仍将是主要的能源形式。非经合组织国家在世界石油平衡中的地位越来越重要,从现在到2010年,世界石油需求增长量的60％将来自非经合组织国家,因而非经合组织国家未来的能源需求模式将是世界长期能源需求的决定因素。
The results of the investigation by the International Energy Agency show that the current world oil demand is showing rapid growth, but the supply and demand of the oil market can still maintain a “fragile balance.” Due to the low inventory, no matter what side of the supply and demand, some incidents will cause the recent oil. The market lost its balance. The development trend of the medium and long-term oil market shows that the growth of oil demand, especially transportation fuel, will be mainly concentrated in Asia, while the main role of oil supply is Middle East oil-producing countries. By 2010, 40% of the world’s primary energy demand will be met by oil, and oil will remain the main form of energy. Non-OECD countries are playing an increasingly important role in the world oil balance. From now until 2010, 60% of the world’s oil demand growth will come from non-OECD countries. Therefore, non-OECD countries’ future energy demand patterns It will be the determinant of long-term energy demand in the world.